7.10.2009

Analyzing GOP's decline

Gallup has released a special report which examines public opinion on a number of issues “to evaluate whether Americans’ ideology has changed in ways that help explain the Republican Party’s recent electoral and image problems.”

Read Gallup’s Special Report HERE.

3 comments:

Infidel753 said...

Interesting. I've long been convinced that what people tell opinion pollsters partly reflects what views it's considered "respectable" to hold, whereas actual behavior (such as voting) is where the truth is to be found.

It's long been the case that there isn't enough space in all the churches in this country for all the people who claim to attend regularly, for example -- and given that voters in the very conservative state of South Dakota struck down an anti-abortion law in 2006, I doubt one could be upheld by popular vote anywhere, regardless of what people are telling Gallup.

The 2004-2008 shift in voting patterns reflects what people actually think; the poll results reflect what they think is approved to think.

by Michael Boh said...

I must admit BJ, this data set depressed me to no end. I like what Infidel is saying about it, but still I can't get over the idea that more Americans are conservative. Do they even know what the hell it means?

I somehow doubt it, seeing the opposing poll numbers for health care, energy and the environment. I think it's clear the majority of Americans are progressive, whether they know it or not. :) MB

B.J. said...

I suspect you are both right, although I do think Gallup is a solid polling organization. Look at this from today’s inbox:

From Gallup: The percentage of all Americans who identified as Republican in June was 28% … On the other hand, Democratic identification in June was at 35%.

Cell phone owners remain an unknown factor.